Sunday, October 26, 2008

A 21st-Century Bretton Woods - WSJ.com

"Today the idea of another monetary rebirth has much to recommend it. The credit bubble that has wreaked havoc on the world's financial markets has its origins in a two-headed monetary order: Some countries allow their currencies to float, while others peg loosely to the dollar. Over the past five years or so, this mixture created a variation on the 1930s: China, the largest dollar pegger, kept its currency cheap, driving rival exporters in Asia to hold their exchange rates down also. Thanks to this new version of competitive currency manipulation, the dollar-peggers racked up gargantuan trade surpluses. Their earnings were pumped back into the international financial system, inflating a credit bubble that now has popped disastrously.

Persuading China to change its currency policy would be a worthy goal for a new Bretton Woods conference."

Breton Woods is the basis for enough conspiracy theories to choke a goat. But it did set a global financial framework that helped the world recover from World War II. My only question is: How do the "new Breton Wooders" expect to change China's policy without inviting China to the parley?

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